Wednesday, September 19, 2007

What Makes a Heisman?

Here are some quick facts about recent Heisman Trophy winners:

  • Since the advent of the BCS (after the '98 regular season), only 1 HT winner didn't play in a BCS game. (Ricky Williams '98, the first year of the BCS)
  • In that same time period, only 3 HT winners did not play for the National Championship. (Williams '98, Ron Dayne '99, Carson Palmer '02)
  • Since 2000, 6 of the 7 HT winners were quarterbacks, with Reggie Bush '05 being the only exception.
  • 4 of the 7 runners-up in that same span were QBs.
  • Palmer ('02) was the only HT winner in that same seven year span from a team that lost 2+ games. USC's 2nd loss came on October 5th of that year.
Here is a stat comparison of the QBs who have won the HT since 2000:


Year

QB

Comp.

%

Pass

YDs

Pass

TDs

INTs

Rush

YDs

Rush

TDs

2000

Weinke

61.7%

4167

33

11

-97

1

2001

Crouch

53.9%

1572

7

11

1229

18

2002

Palmer

63.2%

3942

33

10

-122

4

2003

White

61.6%

3846

40

10

-150

1

2004

Leinart

65.3%

3322

33

6

-44

3

2006

Smith

67.0%

2507

30

5

233

1

2007

Ryan*

59.2%

3940

28

12

-60

0

*Projected 2007 stats over a 12 game season

What does this all mean? It means that #12's stats are indeed Heisman-caliber. Here is what needs to happen for him to win the thing:
  • BC Needs to keep winning. 1 loss probably ends his chances, 2 losses and he's out of the running for sure.
  • Improve the completion %. This is on the receivers too but voters don't care. This 3-4 game stretch should help.
  • Increase the TDs. Again, now's the time to do it. However, between the dropped pass right before the first TD Saturday night and the fumble on the second drive he lost 2 potential TDs. I am not worried about this stat at all as long as the team is scoring.
  • Make sure the INTs don't go up.
  • A rushing TD or two would not hurt

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